Are you considering buying a home this year? With a solid game plan and approach to buying a home, you can plan to win in 2024. Of course you’ll need to prepare. And hey, you’re off to a great start by reading this blog—we don’t want you to fall short of your goals either. But, like with just about anything, being prepared will have you ahead of the competition—and, if rates fall significantly, there will surely be competition. A persistent shortage of homes for sale will still likely cause challenges for buyers into 2024, leaving sellers in a favorable position. However, with interest rates falling, of late, could it be the year that buyers finally have the advantage?  If you're considering house hunting this spring, make sure to allocate enough time to find the right property and bring your best negotiation skills to the table. Until then, here’s a breakdown of what's happening in today’s market and how you can prepare. Home Prices Have Stabilized. Will They Begin to Climb? The real estate landscape is currently characterized by stable home prices. After a three-year-long surge, prices have mostly held steady this past year, with some regions experiencing slight decreases and others seeing modest increases. As of November 9th, the national median price for existing homes was $430,300, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Looking ahead, NAR predicts a 0.9% increase in the median price for existing homes in 2024 compared to the previous year. Fannie Mae was among the most optimistic predicting a 2.4% increase, while realtor.com® predicts a 1.7% decrease in median home value in 2024. Here in Colorado, the median home value was significantly higher than the national average at over $612,000. That means you’ll really need to save for your down payment.  The NAR recently reported a discrepancy in cash (down payment) availability between first-time and repeat buyers. First-time buyers typically make a median down payment of 8%, while repeat buyers put down a higher median of 19%. Interest Rates Remain Relatively High  In 2024, it’s high time to acknowledge that historically low mortgage rates are a thing of the past, with rates rising to a 30-year peak in October 2023. However, beginning in November rates began a six-week decline, then stabilized at the end of the year. Currently, rates are holding well below 7% and some experts think we could see rates decrease into the high 5s at some point this year, perhaps as early as Q2.  NAR predicts the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage to average 6.3% in 2024; realtor.com® projects 6.5%. This likely will improve housing affordability and entice more home buyers to return to the market, according to NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.  The Federal Reserve's efforts to curb inflation have contributed to this trend, with 3 interest rate decreases planned for 2024, if patterns hold (always a big if). While rates may impact initial mortgage costs, it's worth considering the option to refinance if rates decrease in the future. What Can You Afford? NAR’s data shows that rates near 6.6% enable the average American family to afford a median-priced home without devoting more than 30% of their income to housing, the threshold commonly used to measure affordability. We can recommend our trusted lender partners so you can quickly and accurately determine what’s truly affordable for your unique scenario.  Competing for That Primo House According to October 2023 data from NAR, over 25% of homes are still selling above their listed price, with 28% of homes achieving this in that month. The median time homes spent on the market was 23 days, and on average, each property received 2.5 offers, indicating a persistently competitive market. NAR’s Yun emphasized the significant impact of limited housing inventory on satisfying housing demand, stating, "Multiple offers, of course, yield only one winner, with the rest left to continue their search." On the other hand, cash transactions continue to play a notable role in the marketplace, with nearly one in three sales (29%) completed in cash, up slightly from the 26% reported in 2022. So, if you have cash, you’re in a better position than most of the market. However, financing is only one aspect of competing for a home and there are many other ways to stand out.  MORE >>> Offer Strategies that Win Flexibility and Compromise As a homebuyer, there are aspects of the real estate market you simply can’t control. For instance, you can't control inventory or when someone decides to put their house up for sale. What you do have control over is your own outlook and readiness. Consider that finding the absolute perfect home should remain your BHAG (big, hairy, audacious goal) but that a "good enough for now" home can kickstart your homeownership journey sooner and may keep you from having the market pass you by. This rings particularly true for first-time buyers eager to start building equity. It’s no secret that real estate presents opportunity as a very solid investment long term, and often in the short term. Putting off buying six months or a year might mean losing out on tens of thousands of dollars. That said, if you find yourself constrained by your options consider broadening the scope of your search to include smaller homes, additional areas, or even different types of housing options such as condos or townhouses, as a suitable compromise. Perhaps you can make do with fewer bedrooms or bathrooms or adapt to a slightly outdated interior.  And, while I’m not your dad, my best fatherly advice is: keep your spirits up—even if it means tolerating less square footage or putting up with quirky linoleum floors for a bit, you'll end up with equity to remodel or sell down the line. How to Prepare: Tips for Winning in 2024 No matter which direction rates go, it’s always great to be prepared for opportunity. If you’re one who likes to prepare (and we highly recommend you do) here are some tips to prepare for and compete in the housing market in 2024 (adapted from a recent article from NerdWallet): Get your finances in order: Review your budget, down payment capabilities, and credit score. Consider consulting with a loan officer for guidance on improving your financial profile. Understand mortgage options: Explore various mortgage options beyond the misconception of needing a 20% down payment. FHA and VA mortgages, as well as down payment assistance programs, offer alternatives. Shop mortgage lenders: Compare offerings from different lenders, considering not only interest rates but also the annual percentage rate (APR) and overall loan costs. Hire a good real estate agent: Choose a buyer's agent with market expertise who can guide you through the process, provide referrals, and navigate current market conditions. Make your best offer and negotiate wisely: Beyond monetary considerations, be flexible with terms such as the closing date. Negotiate wisely and only make concessions that align with your financial capacity. Don't give up: Persistence can pay off in a competitive market. Stay optimistic, be prepared to act swiftly, and seize opportunities when they arise. Bottom Line Don’t get down about the sky-high costs and the scarcity of options, especially if you're a first-time buyer who's been holding off on the house hunt. With today’s market conditions you may experience challenges.  Our advice? Consider the long game. Waiting around for lower rates might end up with you facing even higher prices and tougher competition. So, if your heart is set on buying, focus on finding a place that checks as many of your boxes as possible within your current budget, all the while remembering that buying real estate often means compromising. I always remind my homebuyer clients, “even the buyers at $2.3M may have to compromise on that infinity edge pool if they can only afford to get an in-ground pool when everything else is perfect.” Setting your sights on perfection can often lead to unnecessary disappointment. Homebuyers often expect that they’ll hit a home run with their very first first at-bat when making a purchase. Sometimes, I gently remind them that nothing conquers inflation like real estate, so being in the game is important, even if you start by just getting on base. In any case, staying informed and adapting your approach will be key to success in this ever-evolving real estate landscape… …and we’re here to help. You just have to ask.

  In this video, Matt Thomas & Brian Dewald discuss how rising mortgage rates, multiple offers and increasing inventory are impacting the real estate market. They also talk about the success of Brian's cash program for buyers and the potential easing off of selling mortgage bonds by the Federal Reserve which could bring a much needed reduction in rates. They emphasize the importance of being prepared and taking action in the current rate environment. And, despite the recent uptick in rates, home sales multiple offers are still happening. Mortgage Lender Brian Dewald and I discuss the latest economic news and how that's impacting the local housing market. 🏡   Mortgage Minute is a real-time discussion of current new stories impacting real estate and mortgage lending in Denver, Colorado. Hosts Matt Thomas and Brian Dewald share insights that go beyond just interest rates. 📈 Discover the latest updates on mortgage rates and the exciting news that could impact your decision to buy a home. Matt and Brian focus on providing valuable education about the home buying process, emphasizing data over drama and facts over feelings.   💡 Don't miss out on the valuable tips and strategies shared in this episode! If you're considering buying a home or looking for ways to optimize your mortgage, this is a must-watch. Hit play and embark on your journey to homeownership with Mortgage Minute! 🔑✨   You're encouraged to subscribe to our channel, especially if you would like to receive notifications on all of our informative videos.   Subscribe to Our YouTube Channel

Mortgage rates inched up this week, prompting a pause among some prospective homebuyers. However, there are compelling reasons why waiting might not be the most advantageous strategy. Let's delve into the data and trends shaping the housing market landscape. Impact of Mortgage Rate Changes Home shoppers are keenly attuned to fluctuations in mortgage rates, as evidenced by the recent uptick in the average for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, reaching 6.77%. This increase led to a 3% decline in mortgage applications for home purchases, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. While even marginal changes in rates can influence purchasing power, borrowing costs have generally stabilized. Jessica Lautz, Deputy Chief Economist at the National Association of REALTORS®, notes that despite the weekly uptick, mortgage rates have followed a downward trajectory since fall 2023, now sitting a full percentage point below recent highs. Considerations for Prospective Buyers Waiting for mortgage rates to decrease may not yield significant savings. Even a slight decrease in rates may not substantially alter monthly mortgage payments, particularly as home prices continue to rise. With the median price of existing homes reaching all-time highs and projected to climb further, buyers face the challenge of navigating a market characterized by low inventory and persistent price pressure. Regional Trends and Market Dynamics While national averages provide insights into broader trends, it's essential to examine regional nuances. In the Denver and Front Range area, for example, housing market dynamics may differ from the national landscape. The region has witnessed an increase in new listings, signaling growing interest from sellers. Additionally, inventory levels have seen a slight uptick compared to the previous year, potentially offering buyers more options. However, this increased inventory is accompanied by rising mortgage rates, which could impact buyer demand and price dynamics. Implications for Sellers and Price Dynamics As sellers ease back into the market, the region has seen a steady growth in active inventory, albeit at a fractionally slower pace than in previous weeks. While this may provide buyers with more choices, it also raises questions about the balance between supply and demand. Furthermore, the sensitivity of homebuyers to higher mortgage rates is reflected in the increasing number of price reductions, indicating a cautious approach among consumers. Future Outlook and Considerations As the housing market continues to evolve rapidly, monitoring key indicators such as inventory levels, sales growth, and price reductions is crucial for gauging future trends. While median home prices have remained relatively stable in recent weeks, the impact of sustained high mortgage rates on price dynamics remains uncertain. Whether home price gains will persist in the face of elevated mortgage rates is a question that warrants close observation in the coming months. Bottom Line In navigating the current housing market, prospective buyers in the Denver and Front Range area, like their counterparts nationwide, must carefully evaluate their options. While waiting for lower mortgage rates may seem tempting, the broader market context, including rising home prices and shifting inventory levels, suggests that delaying purchases may not necessarily result in significant savings. By staying informed and adaptable, buyers can make informed decisions aligned with their long-term goals in a dynamic real estate landscape.

If you're watching the market too closely, you may be doing a little fence sitting. There's nothing wrong with that. Stay informed, then jump when it's time to jump. With the Fed recently pausing interest rate hikes--it's been 15 long months--this might be that opportunity to jump. So will you? The Federal Reserve's Pause in Interest Rate Hikes The Federal Reserve recently announced their decision to pause interest rate hikes for the time being. This decision has been met with mixed reactions in various markets, but overall it is seen as a positive development. However, oddly, the reaction to inflation receding should have been positive for interest rates, yet the markets' reactions has seen mortgage rates tick up, then stabilize towards the end of last week and into this week. What's the deal? Normally mortgage rates love decreasing inflation. Market Update The real estate market has been experiencing a slow down until recent months. Home sales had slowed and inventory has decreased in many areas of the country. However, despite these challenges, the market remains stable. Prices have not seen a significant decline and are actually starting to inch back up. Low inventorys and high demand for those fewer available homes are sure to keep prices high. The Pause in Interest Rate Hikes Overall, the Federal Reserve's pause in interest rate hikes is seen as a positive development for the real estate industry. Interest rates directly impact the affordability of homes for buyers. Higher rates mean higher monthly mortgage payments, which can make homes less affordable for many people. The pause in interest rate hikes means that buyers will have more time to take advantage of low rates. In addition, the pause in interest rate hikes could also stimulate the market. Lower rates mean that buyers can afford more expensive homes, which could lead to an increase in home sales. This could help to reduce inventory and stabilize prices. What This Means for Buyers For buyers, the pause in interest rate hikes means that they have more time to take advantage of low rates. If you are in the market for a new home, there are advantages to start looking now. With low rates and a stable market, you have more options and more time to find the right home for you. What This Means for Sellers For sellers, the pause in interest rate hikes means that there is still demand for homes. While the market may be slower than the last few years, demand is stout and the summer heat (after a lot of rain) isn't keeping buyers from still looking for the right home. Pricing your home appropriately and working with an experienced real estate agent can help you sell your home quickly and for the best price possible--and I know a guy. Bottom Line Overall, the Federal Reserve's pause in interest rate hikes is a good news for the real estate market. And while the Fed is taking a break from raising interest rates, there are some real advantages in the marketplace for buyers. Once rates drop, and they surely will someday, inventory will get squeezed from buyers jumping off the fence and snathcing up reamining housing until sellers get onboard. Will you still be on the fence when rates improve or will you be counting your equity gains from your new backyard watching all the fencesitters?