ELEVATE Newsletter: March 16, 2023

by Matt Thomas

In this issue...

March 16, 2023: Over the first few months of the quarter the mortgage market has been about as volatile as anyone can remember. Beginning late last year, after Thanksgiving, rates slid (improved) for about 6 straight weeks. Since that time, we've seen rates spike again by about a point, then relax yet again for much of the last month before they began trending back the other direction yet again over the past week or two. That's enough fluctuation to make your head spin. Purchase applications tend to shadow the rates, whichever direction they go. This is nothing new. Rates always fluctuate. If you I quoted you a rate right now, it would be inaccurate by the time you called your favorite lender to lock in your rate.
 
Interestingly, housing inventory is also sensitive to the fluctuation. Rising rates cause hesitation in the marketplace. Low inventory is good for homesellers and in some price ranges, multiple offers have returned in part becuase there simply aren't enough houses to meet buyer demand. As spring approaches, there have historically been predictable increases in the number of homes listed.
 
So how is that impacting the housing market? Homes are still selling--we're headed into spring, after all. But any potential homebuyer at or near the top of their budget is going to be very sensitive to rate fluctuation/volatility. 
 
As the illustration above shows, for now, rates less than 6.5% cause the market to move, yet as rates increase and approach the 7% mark, demand begins to slow in a way that causes home sellers to stay on the market longer and become more impatient with the home sale process.

Something I'm Pondering

“Be the designer of your world and not merely the consumer of it.”
James Clear, Atomic Habits
 
 

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Matt Thomas

Consultant | Broker Associate | FA100030130

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